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IPO windows reopen with improving market sentiment

IPO windows reopen with improving market sentiment

08/23/2025
Robert Ruan
IPO windows reopen with improving market sentiment

After a prolonged lull following the pandemic and economic jitters of 20222023, the global IPO market has begun to stir once more. Renewed optimism is fueling a fresh wave of listings as companies seize the opportunity to tap into public capital. Investors, too, are displaying a renewed appetite for new offerings, buoyed by signs of economic stability and a more supportive policy backdrop.

Market Recovery and Investor Sentiment

In early 2024, the IPO landscape showed clear signs of revival. Monthly issuance volumes climbed steadily, a stark contrast to the near standstill observed just a year earlier. Improved macroeconomic conditions have played a pivotal role, with policymakers and central banks taking measures that have eased some of the pressure on businesses and markets.

Investor confidence has been particularly influenced by stabilizing interest rates and easing inflation. As borrowing costs leveled off, issuers regained the confidence to return to the public markets. Coupled with a more business-friendly policy environment, especially in the United States, this set the stage for a resurgence of initial offerings.

Despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, the prevailing market sentiment is decidedly upbeat about opportunities ahead. Analysts point to a shift in focus toward quality issuers with sustainable growth trajectories, marking a departure from the speculative highs of 2021.

Key Numbers and Global Volumes

The data underscores the market's revival. January 2025 saw 117 IPOs globally, up from 102 in the same month a year earlier. For the full year 2024, issuers completed 266 listings—still shy of the 2021 peak but significantly ahead of the trough in 2023.

In the United States, forecasts project approximately 160 debuts in 2025, generating between $45 billion and $50 billion in proceeds. Early 2025 has already delivered blockbuster deals, with JX Advanced Metals in Japan leading at roughly $3 billion, followed by Venture Global at $1.75 billion, CoreWeave at $1.5 billion, SailPoint at $1.38 billion, Asker Healthcare Group AB at $886 million, and HBX Group at $772 million.

Sector participation is also noteworthy, with technology-related offerings accounting for about 25% of the volume in Q1 2025. Meanwhile, private equity and VC-backed IPOs comprised 9% of listings and contributed 31% of the capital raised, underscoring the growing influence of sponsor-backed deals.

Regional Dynamics and Opportunities

Each region presents its own blend of challenges and prospects. For investors and issuers alike, understanding these nuances is crucial to navigating the global landscape effectively.

  • United States: Fueled by stable rates and pro-growth governance, the U.S. market is expected to remain a magnet for high-profile tech and “quality” IPOs, even as trade policy and political shifts pose intermittent uncertainty.
  • Europe: Although activity is still below pre-pandemic levels, Europe's 2025 pipeline shows promise. Regulatory developments and sector rotation could drive listings in financial services, cleantech, and life sciences.
  • Asia-Pacific: India has emerged as a standout hub, offsetting weakness in mainland China. With a robust pipeline of consumer, technology, and energy companies, the region is primed for a meaningful rebound.
  • Middle East: Government-led initiatives are catalyzing large state and private listings, reflecting a strategic push to diversify economies and attract foreign capital.
  • Latin America: Economic reforms in Argentina and commodity-driven growth elsewhere are generating interest, though political volatility and structural challenges temper exuberance.

Sectoral and Thematic Trends

Beyond region-specific drivers, several thematic trends are shaping the next wave of IPO activity.

  • Technology: From AI chipmakers to cloud infrastructure firms, tech remains the largest sector by issuance volume. Notable is the anticipated debut of companies like Cerebras, which could redefine market expectations.
  • Fintech: Despite regulatory scrutiny for firms such as Plaid and Ripple, the promise of digital finance continues to draw capital, particularly for candidates with clear regulatory roadmaps.
  • green energy and electric vehicle offerings are tapping into the ESG investing momentum, as renewable power developers and EV makers seek growth capital to scale operations.
  • Life Sciences: Companies with differentiated intellectual property and near-term profit potential are poised for a “banner year” in 2025, supported by robust public and crossover investor demand.
  • SPACs: After the boom-bust cycles of earlier years, SPAC activity has stabilized, with 57 IPOs in 2024 and more rigorous sponsor selection processes.

Investor Behavior and IPO Readiness

Market participants are aligning around issuers that demonstrate strong fundamentals and robust internal controls. Institutional investors, in particular, are scrutinizing cash flow projections and governance structures more closely than ever before.

  • Investors are prioritizing companies with proven revenue streams and well-defined growth strategies.
  • Issuers spent much of 2024 strengthening balance sheets and refining business models to command higher valuations and optimal market timing.
  • Private equity and venture capital sponsors are actively marketing secondary share offerings, providing liquidity pathways for existing stakeholders.

Risks, Headwinds, and Strategic Preparations

Despite the prevailing optimism, several risks could derail the rally. Geopolitical tensions, sudden inflation spikes, and abrupt regulatory shifts in key markets remain real threats.

Moreover, companies considering an IPO must ensure public market readiness and strategic governance focus. This involves rigorous financial audits, robust risk management frameworks, and transparent communication with potential investors.

Cost of capital considerations also play a critical role. While borrowing costs have eased from recent peaks, marginal offerings with uncertain growth profiles may struggle to achieve desired valuations.

Outlook and Forward-Looking Themes

The consensus among market analysts is that 2025 will outshine the immediate post-pandemic years, even if it falls short of the unparalleled highs of 2021. A combination of clear pathways to profitability for many issuers and improving sentiment should sustain momentum.

For companies planning an IPO, proactive preparation is essential. This includes developing a comprehensive listing roadmap, engaging with advisors and underwriters early, and conducting investor outreach to build a robust demand pipeline.

As the window for new listings continues to widen, issuers and investors alike have an opportunity to capitalize on favorable conditions. With prudent risk management and a focus on quality, the next wave of public offerings could redefine market benchmarks and create lasting value for all stakeholders.

Robert Ruan

About the Author: Robert Ruan

Robert Ruan